One dead American service member is assessed as enough to end the ceasefire between the US and Iran — regardless of whether a strike was deliberate or accidental.
"I think from an escalation ladder perspective, I think it's not, what can Iran do more? So it's not how does it get there? I think it's the end goal. And the end goal is, do they kill an American soldier? Right? So in these strikes, does it inadvertently kill them? Or, I mean, I don't want to use the term in that way, because clearly it's a military strike, right? But if Iran- Yeah, it's not just their strikes aimed at causing casualties versus strikes aimed for other purposes. Yeah. I mean, it's always, look, from my perspective, right, if Iran launches, let's say a ballistic missile strike against Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, well, I'm going to always err the assumption, well, your goal is to cause casualties, right? Like, that's just how it is. You know, we could go back and forth, but that's the point. Let's ignore that. Maybe let's say the Iranians fire a ballistic missile. They don't want to hit Prince Sultan Air Base, but from what something absolutely weird happened, and it ended up killing an American soldier or service member, that to me is the clear sign that the ceasefire is probably going to collapse and that the United States is then going to respond in a- One soldier? One soldier? I do not underestimate the United States, very extreme low tolerance for a casualty, a U.S. casualty service member."
💬 Discussion
One dead American service member is assessed as enough to end the ceasefire between the US and Iran — regardless of whether a strike was deliberate or accidental.
