In 3 mins I explain why Reform is in terminal decline:
"the direction of travel that reform is going. 2025, people expected it was a foregone conclusion that reform was basically going to win by 2029. But then by 2026, they fall in five points by the 2026 selections, the local elections, and they are losing every by election. And they've now got restore getting six to seven to 8% in some places, eating into their base. And that's really what we're talking about. It's more than 678% because that's a base of people that go to talk to people at the at the pub or at a game or in their neighborhood. Those are people who are politically involved, shifting more to restore. And that's terrifying for someone like Nigel Farage. And then you have this corruption scandal that tops it all off. So he can see the direction of travel. And this is in the American lingo, what we call a Hail Mary Pass. You know, you're going, you're just throwing it launching something to restart the kind of campaign he expected, you know, a few years ago, if anything, he's a campaigner more than he is a politician, you know, or legislator. And so this is his place where he feels most comfortable. But I just don't think, you know, this is not even wishful thinking, I think the evidence is very, very clear that it's not gonna it's not having the effect that we expect. And I also think, at a larger point, you know, it's very fair, the public really wants something different. You've had a uni party, and this is what reform often criticizes you for a reform from the left from the right, the greens from the left, and their criticism of the uni party is very similar. You've had 40 years, you know, four decades of effectively the same two parties who have one single goal, which is to serve a tiny group of extremely powerful people at the expense of everyone else. And then that time, what you've seen is real wages have fallen, infrastructure is collapsing, you know, one in four people in this country have less than 100 pounds in their pocket, there's 15 million people in Britain living in poverty, four million children. And at the same time, you have 50 people owning more than half of the wealth in this country. And so while those things are happening, those aren't two things, one is connected to the other. And so people are going and saying reforms and gas, let's blame this group of people or that group of people. But all of their policies, and it's feeling clear and clear, all of their policies is more privatization, more austerity, more war, more tax benefits for the rich, it's actually not it's doing the same thing the uni party is done, but on steroids. And I think as this sort of this kind of corruption, you see the same billionaire class funding in the same corrupt way, the same people, and reform has revealed that they weren't an anti-establishment party. In fact, what this reveals isn't just a story of corruption. It's a story of someone who's actually in many respects in the pocket of establishment figures. And so that's why it threatens Faraj so much. It's not the legal procedures or that he might be kicked out or it's not the media strategy, it's that it undermines the basic premise of his entire anti-establishment message. So that's why it's like, that's why it's such an existential crisis for reform. I mean, I have to say that, of course, Faraj denies has been any form of, of course, wrongdoing and, and corrupt."
π¬ Discussion
In 3 mins I explain why Reform is in terminal decline: