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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au
Jul 10, 08:40 PM

"What we should kind of reflect on is...12 months before the election, Peter Dutton was ahead in the polls." Co-CEO Richard Denniss reflected on the 2025 federal election and what insight it might give for future elections in today's Australia Institute webinar! @richarddenniss.bsky.social #auspol

🎤 Whisper Transcript (en) ⏱ 83s

"It's really interesting to reflect on the election, you know, like a lot of people, I too thought a minority power-sharing government might be a likely thing six months before the election and certainly three months before the election. I didn't expect a Labour landslide, neither did Labour at that point and there's obvious sort of proof points that not even Labour were thinking that. What we should kind of reflect on is like six months before the election, 12 months before the election, Peter Dutton was ahead in the polls. The media were telling us, you know, Labour better pivot to the right or the Liberals are going to win the election. When Trump became president, there was talk of a Trump bump for Peter Dutton and how Trump was going to be good for Dutton, whereas even the Liberal Party's own review made clear that Trump was probably a problem for them. You know, so big picture, you know, thinking about the way the media are kind of obsessed with Pauline Hanson right now, I think we should remind ourselves just how, not just out of touch, but how bad at reading facts that are available, the commentary it can be when it comes to elections."

💬 Discussion

The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · Jul 9, 05:42 AM

"What we should kind of reflect on is...12 months before the election, Peter Dutton was ahead in the polls." Co-CEO Richard Denniss reflected on the 2025 federal election and what insight it might give for future elections in today's Australia Institute webinar! @richarddenniss.bsky.social #auspol

<div class="border-l-2 border-slate-800/60 pl-4 py-2 mt-3 ml-2"> <div class="flex items-start gap-2.5"> <!-- Avatar --> <img src="https://cdn.bsky.app/img/avatar/plain/did:plc:m7o3mimorqbe7nyzd5sacj4c/bafkreietw7s2l67y6qzo5nc7hkl6rlkdb27swm5zlnyfxwa4vdcqv3rqzu" class="w-6 h-6 rounded-full shrink-0 border border-slate-800" /> <!-- Comment Content --> <div class="flex-1 min-w-0"> <div class="flex items-center gap-2 mb-1"> <span class="text-xs font-bold text-slate-300">The Australia Institute</span> <span class="text-[10px] text-slate-500">@australiainstitute.org.au</span> <span class="text-[9px] text-slate-600">· Jul 9, 05:42 AM</span> </div> <p class="text-xs text-slate-350 leading-relaxed break-words">Watch the full discussion here ⤵️ australiainstitute.org.au/event/after-...</p> </div> </div> <!-- Replies --> </div>