"Hey everyone. The Pacific Ocean is warming up rapidly, and the odds of a super El Nino event happening by late 2026 have just jumped by 25%. Both NOAA and AccuWeather are forecasting an unusually early start for El Nino this year, potentially happening by June. The odds of this are about 61%. And this is particularly early because normally El Nino would occur in the fall. So in the US, this is a major benefit to the Corn Belt. El Nino typically brings more rain, and this slashes drought risks for both corn and soybeans. However, the opposite is true in the south, where El Nino tends to cause dry spells, which is expected to cause stress for crops such as cotton, peanuts, and vegetables. But the key takeaway is that while there's a mixed bag of impacts in the United States as we go through 2026, the real impact in terms of peak heat will not hit until 2027. So this means agricultural planning will take a fairly long view of the impact of El Nino, particularly super El Nino."